土地系统变化动力学与效应模拟

出版时间：2011-4  出版社：高等教育  作者：邓祥征 编  页数：299  字数：420000  

内容概要

　　本书系统介绍了作者自主研发的土地系统变化动力学与效应模拟的三层次结构模型的构架、模块和原理。重点介绍了构成模型的三大模块——基于CGELUC的区域土地利用结构预测、基于DLS的栅格尺度土地利用格局模拟、基于ESLP的土地系统变化效应评估模块——的功能与应用。适用于土地利用与土地系统、区域环境变化、生态保育规划等专业的研究者参考，同时也能为土地资源开发利用管理部门与环境保护部门提供借鉴。

作者简介

邓祥征。山东省日照市人，中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所研究员。中国科
学院农业政策研究中心研究员。IHDP城市化与全球环境变化（UGEC）计划科
学指导委员会委员。主要从事土地利用变化的经济、环境影响与政策研究，尤
其关注土地系统中人与环境相互作用的机理及其对土地利用格局与过程的影响 研究。发表论文100余篇，出版专著3部。

书籍目录

Chapter 1 Land System and Research Plans
1.1 Land System
1.1.1 Structure of the Land System
1.1.2 Theory and Methodology of Land System Research
1.1.3 Procedures of Land System Research
1.1.4 Model Architecture of a Land System
1.1.5 Approaches to Land System Research
1.2 Research Plans and Achievements of the LUCC Plan
1.2.1 Identification of Land Uses
1.2.2 Progress of Land Use Research
1.2.3 Research Achievements of the LUCC Plan
1.3 he Global Land Project
1.3.1 Background
1.3.2 Formation and Development of the GLP
1.4 Summary
References
Chapter 2 Modeling Framework
2.1 Modeling Strategy at Regional and Pixel Scales
2.1.1 Modeling Procedures for Conversion from Pixel to
Regional Scales
2.1.2 Accuracy Verification and Deduction from the
Pixel Scale to the Regional Scale
2.2 Shift from Mechanism Analysis to Effects Assessment
2.2.1 Mechanism Analysis of the Dynamics of Land
System Change
2.2.2 Effects Assessment
2.2.3 Multiple Scales in the Dynamics of Land System
Change
2.2.4 Key Processes from the Mechanism Analysis to the
Effects Assessment
2.3 Summary
References
Chapter 3 The CGELUC Model and Its Application
3.1 The CGELUC Model
3.1.1 Framework of the CGELUC Model
3.1.2 Modules of the CGELUC Model
3.2 The CGELUC Model Database
3.2.1 Database of Thematic Quantitative Analysis
3.2.2 The SAM
3.2.3 Preparation of the SAM Parameters
3.3 Methods of SAM Compilation
3.3.1 Compilation of the Macroscopic SAM
3.3.2 Subdivision of the Macroscopic SAM
3.3.3 Balancing the SAM
3.4 Summary
References
Chapter 4 The DLS Model and Its Application
4.1 Principles and Function Modules of the DLS Model
4.1.1 Fundamental Definition
4.1.2 Features of the DLS Model
4.1.3 Framework of the DLS Model
4.1.4 Application
4.1.5 Function Modules of the DLS Model
4.1.6 Explanatory Linear Model of Land Use Pattern
4.1.7 Explanatory Nonlinear Model of Land Use Pattern
4.1.8 Spatial Allocation of the Changing Area of Land
Uses
4.2 DLS Installation and Configuration
4.2.1 DLS Installation
4.2.2 Configuring the DLS Operating Environment
4.3 DLS Input Parameter Preparation
4.3.1 Simulation Condition Setting Parameters
4.3.2 Spatial Analysis Parameters
4.3.3 Driving Factor Data
4.3.4 Land Demand Scenario Data
4.3.5 Restricted Region Code Data
4.3.6 Land Use Type Data
……
Chapter 5 Estimation System for Land Productivity and
Chapter 6 Simulation of Structural Change in Land Use in Jiangxi
Province Using the CGELUC Model
Chapter 7 Modeling the Dynamics of the Land System in an
Agriculture-Pasture Transition Zone in China
Chapter8 Estimation of the Impacts of Land System Change on Land
Productivity in the North China Plain
Conclusions and Further Research
Appendix 1 VBA Program of RAS Method
Appendix 2 SAM of Jiangxi Province in 2007 Index

章节摘录

版权页：插图：An important part of land system research involves changing land use types based on the theory of land prices, promoting the appropriate use of landuse economics and reinforcing land management and protection, allowing the regulatory hmction of the market to dominate （Annie et al., 2000）. The so-cial asset attributes of land determine that it has special use values. The use value of land is represented by the function of the land system and the land value reflects the properties of the land as commodities （de Koning et al.,1999）. Land price is the currency of land value, which depends on landchaacteristics such as area, location, fertility and improvability （Krause, 2002）.Land price is also influenced, either directly or indirectly, by invest ments,supply and demand, location （accessibility）, polices and other social, eco-nomic and cultural factors （McIntyre and Lavorel, 2007）. The land price canbe improved, and land use efficiency can be maximized by optimizing theland use, continually improving the soil fertility, improving the land quality,constructing transportation networks, changing the infrastructure associatedwith land, increasing labor inputs, and realizing intensive land manaement.Additionally, land planning has also been shown to be an important factoraffecting land price.Overall, land system research has introduced aspects of "systems think-ing" in regards to the characteristics of the land system such as concepts of wholeness, complexity, ordering, relatedness and dynamics. It has proposedbasic principles including: the need for overall, comprehensive, connectionand development viewpoints; developing and updating the methodologies ofthe land system research based on previous research; turning the "factor anal-ysis method" into the "systems analysis method"; emphasizing the relation-ship between cognitive and practical processes of land development as well asthe combination of qualitative analysis and quantitative study; and improv-ing the rationality, objectivity, rigor, predictability and practicality of landsystem research by integrating the achievements of various subjects, such asmathematical methods （including probability theory, operational research,mathematical statistics and fuzzy mathematics）, computer technology, thequantification and automation of RS technology, and GIS.

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